Winter Predictors

Aside from following religiously the long-term weather forecast, understanding the intricacies of El Niño and La Niña, looking up in the sky at all time or observing the flights of Canadian geese headed towards Mexico, it’s extremely hard to get a good indication as to when winter will arrive for good.

In fact, my prediction tools are much more rudimentary. When I must rake leaves and clean up the garden all weekend long, this constitutes a serious indicator that the season is about to change and that it’s time to hurry a bit. Another related sign of winter’s imminent arrival is when our living room bay window begins to let some mountain features in, as the leaves that hug the panes start to turn yellow and thin out.

These keen observations fail to tell me with any certainty about the date at which the first serious snow of the season will make it to Park City. This fixation of mine on a certain snow date is tied to a family ritual we used to have and that perked up passions, when our children were younger and still at home with us.

 

Each Fall season, we’d have a contest that would reward the family member able to predict, or get the closest to the date when winter snow would finally arrive and stay on the ground. As far as I can remember, no one ever landed the exact day, no one tied for the big prize and the winner always got sufficiently close to the date without any need for argument or further contest.

 

This will be our twenty-seventh winter in Park City and, so far, snow has never let us down. Therefore it’s not a matter of if, but just when it will fall. Besides, there’s always Deer Valley Resort’s prodigious snow making capacity as a back-up plan, but again, I absolutely don’t worry about lacking snow…

 

So this year, with only two participants, we decided to keep the friendly betting process alive. My wife said snow would come “early” November (vague enough for comfort, right? Her own definition of “early” runs from the first to the tenth of the month) while I set my prediction right on November 22nd. We’ll see when the flakes land and who will have to shovel first!

One Response

  1. Alan Agle says:

    11 inches top of the mountain on 11/11/11.

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16” of new snow and it’s still snowing!

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Everyone here has complained about our winter. I stay quiet. I love the fluffy powder. I don’t care for freezing rain though.

5 hours ago
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Literally on my way! Wish I lived closer (and it’s only an hour, so I shouldn’t be conplaining!😂)

6 hours ago   ·  1
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Deer Valley Resort - Keep it coming. I will be skiing there Thursday. Appreciate all of the advance snow - know you are arranging it just for us!

1 hour ago
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Beautiful view but they can keep the snow

2 hours ago
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It’s beautiful

6 hours ago   ·  2
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Oh my!!! Enjoy your skiing 😀🍀💝. It is so pretty

2 hours ago
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And long may it continue......until at the very least into next week so that there's plenty for me when I arrive on Friday evening!!! ⛷⛷❄️❄️

6 hours ago
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We just left :-( Urgggh!

1 hour ago
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Esto es lo que tenemos par el día de hoy a extremar precauciones al conducir ☘️

4 hours ago
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Still waiting here in Steamboat for it to arrive

4 hours ago   ·  1
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Hay carmen ver y alo mejor cenir unos dias t gusta pero vivir y ir a trabajar con tanto frii ya eso a nadie nos gusta yo ya no admiro eso la verdad

3 minutes ago
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If there is a god, he lives in a place like this.

5 hours ago
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Beautiful

4 hours ago
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Beautiful

4 hours ago
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Looks like a full house.

1 hour ago
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Woohoo!!!

5 hours ago
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Love it

3 hours ago
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Glad I live south!

2 hours ago
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Wish I was there

5 hours ago
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Finally

5 hours ago
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It's about time!

5 hours ago
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Wish I was there!

2 hours ago
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Finally

3 hours ago
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BEAUTIFUL

4 hours ago
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Yikes !

2 hours ago
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It’s 76 in Hilton Head. Trading skis for margaritas on the beach!!!’

4 hours ago
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Cici Stanley pack your bags!!!!

7 hours ago

1 Reply

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Brian Snyder and Ann Trainer Snyder wake up!

9 hours ago

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Have fun everyone today... I was planning on being there this week until I got injured and had to cancel.... I’m sad all week... Miss it there⛷❄️

5 hours ago
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Great memories skiing in DV!!!

3 hours ago
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Powder your chin!! It’s shining!!!

5 hours ago
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Would be nice to get away , anywhere!

5 hours ago
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Carly Weinstein hope you are enjoying!!

7 hours ago

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Of course they get snow,just as we left.Still a good times always.

7 hours ago
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Hunter Gray wish we were there!!

9 hours ago

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'bout time!

7 hours ago
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Oh ya!!!

8 minutes ago
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👍👍👍🎿

3 minutes ago
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Margo Foster now its looking better

4 hours ago
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Wow !

3 hours ago
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Josh Ryan ugh!!

8 hours ago   ·  1
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Moriah Whelan, Jim Whelan- let's go!

5 hours ago
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Allie Bierman HOLLA

8 hours ago
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Perry Granoff!!!!

7 hours ago
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Tyler Firth Matt Rutherford

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&Gilda Romanelli Haranzo

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wow!

20 hours ago

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Dustin Lipson

18 hours ago
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Nicole Kirchhoff Enjoy!

18 hours ago

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Look Justin Boudreaux

8 hours ago
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Deb Davis

11 hours ago
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Ray Degli

20 hours ago
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