Winter Predictors

Aside from following religiously the long-term weather forecast, understanding the intricacies of El Niño and La Niña, looking up in the sky at all time or observing the flights of Canadian geese headed towards Mexico, it’s extremely hard to get a good indication as to when winter will arrive for good.

In fact, my prediction tools are much more rudimentary. When I must rake leaves and clean up the garden all weekend long, this constitutes a serious indicator that the season is about to change and that it’s time to hurry a bit. Another related sign of winter’s imminent arrival is when our living room bay window begins to let some mountain features in, as the leaves that hug the panes start to turn yellow and thin out.

These keen observations fail to tell me with any certainty about the date at which the first serious snow of the season will make it to Park City. This fixation of mine on a certain snow date is tied to a family ritual we used to have and that perked up passions, when our children were younger and still at home with us.

 

Each Fall season, we’d have a contest that would reward the family member able to predict, or get the closest to the date when winter snow would finally arrive and stay on the ground. As far as I can remember, no one ever landed the exact day, no one tied for the big prize and the winner always got sufficiently close to the date without any need for argument or further contest.

 

This will be our twenty-seventh winter in Park City and, so far, snow has never let us down. Therefore it’s not a matter of if, but just when it will fall. Besides, there’s always Deer Valley Resort’s prodigious snow making capacity as a back-up plan, but again, I absolutely don’t worry about lacking snow…

 

So this year, with only two participants, we decided to keep the friendly betting process alive. My wife said snow would come “early” November (vague enough for comfort, right? Her own definition of “early” runs from the first to the tenth of the month) while I set my prediction right on November 22nd. We’ll see when the flakes land and who will have to shovel first!

One Response

  1. Alan Agle says:

    11 inches top of the mountain on 11/11/11.

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Deer Valley Resort shared Ted Ligety's video.

Ted Ligety
Ted Ligety, Deer Valley Resort's global athlete ambassador, training on Mountaineer ski run earlier this month.
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Thanks @deervalleyresort for the awesome training this spring! New @head_ski 30m skis are a dream. #goprokarmagrip

Christoph Sitzer, Lepetit Prince Dk and 222 others like this

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Steve KuehnTed Ligety....one of the greatest world class skiers on earth skiing at my favorite place on earth!! Thank you!! What great technique, balance, speed, carving and weight on downhill ski!!!😀😀😀❤️❤️❤️😀😀😀😀😀

1 day ago   ·  3
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Steve KuehnI wish I could ski that well!! I am good and focus on the basics and technique, but I am nowhere near that good....Heaven on earth to me is skiing and / or teaching people to ski every day!!

1 day ago   ·  3
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Lisa K SimpkinsNo wonder my favorite run was closed 2 weeks ago. He was going so fast I never saw him.

19 hours ago
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Patricia Wollerok, maybe he goes a little, just a little faster than I... one think is certain, that is one of my favorite runs!

21 hours ago   ·  1
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Laura Nolle SpurlinEmily Spurlin Abby Spurlin this is my favorite run "mountaineer" !!⛷

1 day ago   ·  2
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Tom ThomasVery impressive, Patty must be proud.

1 day ago
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Ted ForbesBill Mitchell I think you can take him

1 day ago
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Hideko ShimabukuroOMG that's so fast...! Made me dizzy watching it. 😅

21 hours ago
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Dan PeoplesBill Liguori this looks a lot like Marc D. Lewis without the aqua green, one piece jump suit.

1 day ago
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Liz SinHey Juji is this the lovely run we did where we were crying of steepness. No problem.

7 hours ago
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James EvansLooks fantastic there at Deer Valley --- look forward to a Huge Season for Ted in 2017 / 2018 as well as the Winter Olympics . . .

1 day ago
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Effie Baramso rad having the mountain totally to yourself....VIP treatment

22 hours ago
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Nikki GraceI want to go. Just not that fast.

1 day ago
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Miguel CamposRenzzo B Namuche ese weon skia igual a mi csm jajaja

1 day ago   ·  1

2 Replies

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Barbara JonesThis is one of my favorite runs at Deer Valley!

22 hours ago
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Kirk HoffmanI've skied that, but not quite in the same way!

1 day ago
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Michael A. StahlerFrom two weeks ago?

6 hours ago
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Joseph HamiltonJet propulsion?

1 day ago
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Michael O'SullivanYeah, and I would be just ahead of you 😜

1 day ago
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Karl ByrneThe true mountain sport, pure speed

20 hours ago
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Arlen Gilbertpretty much how I imagine I look when I ski.

1 day ago
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Rachel O'SullivanMichael O'Sullivan this is what I look like on that run

1 day ago
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Billy GlosWayne Wilkinson is that you?!! Crazy!

20 hours ago

1 Reply

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Elizabeth HaleIt even feels fun 😁😁

1 day ago
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Leigh Gallagher WaltersWow

20 hours ago
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