Winter Predictors

Aside from following religiously the long-term weather forecast, understanding the intricacies of El Niño and La Niña, looking up in the sky at all time or observing the flights of Canadian geese headed towards Mexico, it’s extremely hard to get a good indication as to when winter will arrive for good.

In fact, my prediction tools are much more rudimentary. When I must rake leaves and clean up the garden all weekend long, this constitutes a serious indicator that the season is about to change and that it’s time to hurry a bit. Another related sign of winter’s imminent arrival is when our living room bay window begins to let some mountain features in, as the leaves that hug the panes start to turn yellow and thin out.

These keen observations fail to tell me with any certainty about the date at which the first serious snow of the season will make it to Park City. This fixation of mine on a certain snow date is tied to a family ritual we used to have and that perked up passions, when our children were younger and still at home with us.

 

Each Fall season, we’d have a contest that would reward the family member able to predict, or get the closest to the date when winter snow would finally arrive and stay on the ground. As far as I can remember, no one ever landed the exact day, no one tied for the big prize and the winner always got sufficiently close to the date without any need for argument or further contest.

 

This will be our twenty-seventh winter in Park City and, so far, snow has never let us down. Therefore it’s not a matter of if, but just when it will fall. Besides, there’s always Deer Valley Resort’s prodigious snow making capacity as a back-up plan, but again, I absolutely don’t worry about lacking snow…

 

So this year, with only two participants, we decided to keep the friendly betting process alive. My wife said snow would come “early” November (vague enough for comfort, right? Her own definition of “early” runs from the first to the tenth of the month) while I set my prediction right on November 22nd. We’ll see when the flakes land and who will have to shovel first!

One Response

  1. Alan Agle says:

    11 inches top of the mountain on 11/11/11.

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Today's #DeerValleyMoment | Photo Credit: Emily Summers ... See MoreSee Less

Todays #DeerValleyMoment  | Photo Credit: Emily Summers

Joyce Cook, Sandra M Law Almeida and 23 others like this

View previous comments

Stephen HelmI thought that was Upper Stein, I have a shot real similar to that one

1 day ago   ·  1
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Joyce GriffinBeautiful photo, Emily Summers! It makes me want to be there making the first tracks down.

1 day ago   ·  1
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Brian ParkerIf I squint, I can just barely see my old house!

1 day ago   ·  1
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Randy CarterBeautiful and my acrophobia will dissipate as the thrill of downhill takes over.

18 hours ago
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George LadnerI was there 2 weeks ago and loved it. Nearly as good as the Swiss alps/Zermatt¿¡¡

1 day ago
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Eric LongabardiNice shot Emily Summers! :) I can see Heber!

18 hours ago
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Todd RameyTop of Steins, just past Sultan .

1 day ago   ·  1
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Alma WeldeLovely

15 hours ago
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Francis GougeonWith this view you can pretend you are an astronaut.⛷

1 day ago
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Ariana B. AlvarezI want to be the first one down!

1 day ago
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Janis Bauer FullmerBeautiful!

1 day ago
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Rafael TorresWHAT A SHOT!

22 hours ago
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Gerry FeherCorduroy....yea baby !!

15 hours ago
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Will WilliamsDebbie Riley-Williams favorite place to ski in the USA 😎

19 hours ago
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MaryEllen ProctorBarb and Karen, wish we were there.

22 hours ago
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Drew DealIs this the run to the gondola?

1 day ago
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Linda Glore-SewardI must get my knees in shape so I can ski that again!

14 hours ago

1 Reply

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Holly EtlinStein's Way, nice!

23 hours ago
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Charlotte StrackBeautiful!

1 day ago
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Paul Stu HerlanRipped that yesterday...thanks Stein!

19 hours ago
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Alan HorganI want to there now! Pity our £ is so cheap...

19 hours ago
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Carolyn MacherBeautiful...

23 hours ago
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Lisa AntellJordanelle run?

1 day ago

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Pam Holler, Imelda Chavez and 23 others like this

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Atanacio MartinezAmazingly beautiful love the snow

2 days ago   ·  1
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Andy SimmonsLooks great to me.

2 days ago   ·  1
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Alexis PavlovOlivia Flores can you believe this?! We were just there in 60 degree weather!

2 days ago   ·  2

1 Reply

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Mitch MannHoward Greenberg looking at the size of these flakes...best be bringing a shell to stay dry.

2 days ago   ·  1

1 Reply

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Eric MatteiCalvin Regan it's 100 and 100% humidity in Ho Chi Minh right now...would love to be in deer valley

1 day ago   ·  1
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Ali Elner RomeroAlready hot where I live, so can't wait to be in #DeerValley next week!

2 days ago
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Cory HaagensonNeed to go to Keystone Colorado for one ski trip together Hayden Haagenson ..

2 days ago
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Lindsay Mehrtens-BedwellTaylor Griffin, Matt Bedwell and Dean Griffin, can you believe this??!! It was so hot and sunny last week!

2 days ago
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Jeanne McgrathAre you in Deer valley? We are too

2 days ago   ·  1

1 Reply

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Teri HoenstineSilver Strike Lodge

2 days ago   ·  1
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Glenn RiversHi Madonna Marron , miss you and all my park city friends

2 days ago   ·  1

1 Reply

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Dave AndrzejewskiHold the snow! We are coming on Saturday

2 days ago   ·  1

1 Reply

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Kathleen Cooney CammarataBe there Monday! Can't wait🎿

2 days ago
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Eric PikePlenty of snow

2 days ago
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Nic ReneeI really do wish I was there!!!

2 days ago
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Corinne Nunez O'HaraSee y'all very soon! Let it snow! Let it snow! Let it snow!

2 days ago
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Chris LovattNot too many sitting by that gorgeous fire!! Out skiing I'd say!!

1 day ago
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Roberta StoutAmazing ❄️.

2 days ago
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Gloria DuncanBeautiful! Wish I was there!

2 days ago
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Nancy SchiltzBeen there many times love it! Have fun!

2 days ago
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Adi DeOltNot today! It's too warm for skiing now

2 days ago
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David HoldenLooks like fun!

2 days ago
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Matthew VerrandoWish I was there.

2 days ago
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Rosemary SpiveyLove it!

2 days ago
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Rex MartinMan I miss skiing so bad

2 days ago
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